Episode 320 · Jan 2, 2018
2017 Happened Exactly As We Predicted (Mostly)
Download MP3Watch on YouTubeRecorded Jan 1, 2018
It’s our seasonal finale where we review our predictions for the year and review what happened. There’s a lot packed into the 45 minute show (the prediction show, #275, was 3 hours!) Each of the predictions are captured below.
Photo by Brigitte Tohm on Unsplash
2017 Predictions
Personal
- James: No new computer, Matthew yes
- Matthew will move
- No new job for Matthew
- James will not have a new job
- Matthew will get a 3d printer
- Jack dies of natural causes
- James, won’t buy a Tesla, will buy a van.
Machine Learning:
Machine learning will be the theme of 2017
Machine vision services will be huge
AI is the buzzword of the year. Machine learning will be huge. Companies with lots of data will be the winners
The companies with the best data will be the most successful
Apple:
- Matthew: iMac pro, no Mac Pro or Mac mini
- James: spec bump
- Get rid of MacBook air
- 10th anniversary iPhone:
- New body
- Changed name
- Truly wireless power
- Dual camera on everything
- Push forward with AI
- Some more AR features
- No OLED
- Rounded edge with new screen more likely than wireless charging
- iPad, spec boost, not force touch
- Apple TV, 4K, James no 4k, because it’s not available in iTunes
- James: Apple Home
- Apple won’t disrupt themselves in the home
- Matthew & james, no hardware Apple Watch update. Maybe new material. No 3g
- iOS X (as a joke) no big software, just superficial changes
- Augmented reality through the iPhone
- Apple will repatriate a bunch of cash
Google:
- Google will have more messaging apps by 2018, james says consolidation
- Duo
- Allo
- Hangouts
- Text messaging
- Gmail
- New pixel phone
- Better upgrades to assistant
- New home device
- Project Tango Phones will increase
- VR will play second fiddle to AR, long term
- Nest refreshes a product or two
Waymo:
- James, First Waymo car will be sold 2019
- Waymo partnerships
- A wide scale demonstration of Waymo tech
Facebook:
- VR, social VR platform is the priority, focus on expressiveness
- Messaging
- AI
- More hardware
- Crushing snapchats hopes and dreams
- Sony will come out with peripherals for VR
Microsoft:
- Expand FPGA farms
- Start shipping hololens
- Windows VR hardware partners
- New surface computers
- No more dump “this is the future” videos
Amazon:
- James will be a Prime member
- Hardware update
- Need help with skills, won’t fix it
Snapchat:
- Snapchat will IPO
- James, Spectacles will become generally available, no new hardware
- Matthew, snapchat will have new hardware.
Others:
- James, Uber CEO will hang around, won’t IPO, no pivot, take down Lyft, just gotta survive the year
- Tesla, model 3 will overwhelm them this year
- How many Rocky’s will SpaceX blow up? 1
- Twitter just needs to not fail
- Yahoo will die this year, james: they’ll get bought by Verizon. Matthew, a real disaster could happen.
- Samsung: no exploding phones this year
- James: Nintendo Switch will be middling, PS4 pro will be the best seller
- Drones, won’t have much
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